Edited by Peter Gill, Stephen Marrin, and Mark Pythian
This edited volume brings together a range of essays by individuals who are centrally involved in the debate about the role and utility of theory in intelligence studies. The volume includes both classic essays and new articles that critically analyze some key issues: strategic intelligence, the place of international relations theory, theories of ‘surprise’ and ‘failure’, organizational issues, and contributions from studies of policing and democratization. It concludes with a chapter that summarizes theoretical developments, and maps out an agenda for future research. This volume will be at the forefront of the theoretical debate and will become a key reference point for future research in the area. This book will be of much interest for students of Intelligence Studies, Security Studies and Politics/International Relations in general.
Table of Contents
Introduction Peter Gill, Stephen Marrin, & Mark Phythian
1. An Historical Theory of Intelligence David Kahn
2. Intelligence as Risk Shifting Michael Warner
3. Sketches for a Theory of Strategic Intelligence Loch K. Johnson
4. Intelligence Theory and Theories of International Relations: Shared world or separate worlds? Mark Phythian
5. Theory of Surprise James Wirtz
6. Analysis, War, and Decision: Why intelligence failures are inevitable Richard Betts
7. Intelligence in a Turbulent World: Insights from organization theory Glenn Hastedt and B. Douglas Skelley
8. Intelligence Analysis and Decision-Making: Methodological challenges Stephen Marrin
9. Defending Adaptive Realism: Intelligence theory comes of age Jennifer Sims
10. Policing, Intelligence Theory and the New Human Security Paradigm: Some lessons from the field James Sheptycki
11. Theory and Intelligence Reconsidered Philip H. J. Davies
12. Theories of Intelligence: Where are we, where should we go and how might we proceed? Peter Gill
Richard K. Betts is the Arnold A. Saltzman Professor and Director of the Saltzman Institute of War and Peace Studies at Columbia University.
Philip Davies is convenor of the Security and Intelligence Studies Group, a specialist working group of the UK Political Studies and the British International Studies Associations
Peter Gill is Research Professor in Intelligence Studies at the University of Salford, UK.
Glenn Hastedt holds a Ph D. in political science from Indiana University. Formerly the chair of the political science department at James Madison University he is now the director of the Justice Studies department.
Loch K. Johnson is the Regents Professor of Public and International Affairs at the University of Georgia.
David Kahn is a historian of intelligence, especially communications intelligence, or code breaking. He has practiced and taught journalism as well as publishing widely on intelligence matters.
Stephen Marrin—a former analyst with the CIA and the congressional Government Accountability Office—is an assistant professor in Mercyhurst College’s Intelligence Studies Department. He is a doctoral candidate at the University of Virginia.
Mark Phythian is Professor of Politics in the Department of Politics and International Relations, University of Leicester.
James Sheptycki is Professor of Criminology at York University, Toronto Canada.
Jennifer Sims is a visiting professor with the security studies program at Georgetown University. She has served on the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence and in the Department of State as a senior intelligence officer.
B. Douglas Skelley teaches public management courses to graduate and undergraduate students at James Madison University while coordinating its Master of Public Administration program.
Michael Warner is Chief Historian for the Office of the Director of National Intelligence.
James J. Wirtz is a Professor in the Department of National Security Affairs, California.